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EredivisiePartial
Monday 9 November at 02:00 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht win | 40.8% | 39.8% | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 23.8% | — |
| Nijmegen win | 34.6% | 36.4% | — |
| Utrecht or draw | 65.4% | — | — |
| Utrecht or Nijmegen | 75.4% | — | — |
| Draw or Nijmegen | 59.2% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.0% | 62.5% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.0% | 37.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 68.6% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 31.4% | — | — |
| Utrecht to score | 83.5% | — | — |
| Nijmegen to score | 80.8% | — | — |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.80 – 1.65. Correlation -0.12.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 6 · Conceded 10
Utrecht: not enough xG data yet.
Nijmegen: −0.33 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 6 games: scored 6 on 8.90 xG, conceded 10 on 10.90 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.