EredivisiePartial

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen

Sunday 8 November at 22:45 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
AZ Alkmaar win	52.2%	63.1%	—
Draw	23.7%	19.6%	—
Groningen win	24.1%	17.4%	—
AZ Alkmaar or draw	75.9%	—	—
AZ Alkmaar or Groningen	76.3%	—	—
Draw or Groningen	47.8%	—	—
Over 1.5 goals	86.2%	—	—
Under 1.5 goals	13.8%	—	—
Over 2.5 goals	65.7%	67.3%	—
Under 2.5 goals	34.3%	32.7%	—
Over 3.5 goals	43.7%	—	—
Under 3.5 goals	56.3%	—	—
Both teams to score	65.4%	—	—
Not both teams to score	34.6%	—	—
AZ Alkmaar to score	86.9%	—	—
Groningen to score	74.0%	—	—

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 1 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.5%	3.5%	3.1%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
1	5.8%	10.4%	6.3%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
2	7.0%	9.5%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
3	4.8%	6.4%	4.3%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.4%	3.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
5	1.0%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.4%
2.2–19.5%
3.2–07.0%
4.3–16.4%
5.2–26.4%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 2.03 – 1.35. Correlation -0.12.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

AZ AlkmaarLLLWDW

Scored 9 · Conceded 8

Thu 5 Novat Juventus1–2xG 1.88–0.69
Sat 31 Octat AFC Ajax0–1xG 1.77–0.82
Sun 25 Octat FC Twente0–2xG 1.06–2.39
Thu 22 Octat Ararat-Armenia4–0xG 1.55–0.46
Sun 18 Octat SC Cambuur2–2xG 1.37–1.70
Thu 15 Octat Hapoel Be'er Sheva2–1xG 2.23–0.60

GroningenLLDDLW

Scored 13 · Conceded 15

Sun 1 Novat Sparta Rotterdam2–3xG 2.28–1.01
Thu 29 Octat FC Emmen0–2
Sun 25 Octat NEC Nijmegen2–2xG 0.77–2.44
Sun 25 Octat Nijmegen2–2xG 1.33–1.49
Sun 18 Octat AFC Ajax2–5xG 2.25–3.21
Sun 11 Octat Excelsior5–1xG 2.57–2.08

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

AZ Alkmaar: −0.36 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 9 on 9.86 xG, conceded 8 on 6.67 xG against.

Groningen: +0.21 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 5 games: scored 13 on 9.19 xG, conceded 13 on 10.24 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

AZ Alkmaar win

52.2%

63.1%

—

Draw

23.7%

19.6%

—

Groningen win

24.1%

17.4%

—

AZ Alkmaar or draw

75.9%

—

AZ Alkmaar or Groningen

76.3%

—

Draw or Groningen

47.8%

—

Over 1.5 goals

86.2%

—

Under 1.5 goals

13.8%

—

Over 2.5 goals

65.7%

67.3%

—

Under 2.5 goals

34.3%

32.7%

—

Over 3.5 goals

43.7%

—

Under 3.5 goals

56.3%

—

Both teams to score

65.4%

—

Not both teams to score

34.6%

—

AZ Alkmaar to score

86.9%

—

Groningen to score

74.0%

—

4.5%

3.5%

3.1%

1.4%

0.5%

0.1%

5.8%

10.4%

6.3%

2.8%

1.0%

0.3%

7.0%

9.5%

6.4%

2.9%

1.0%

0.3%

4.8%

6.4%

4.3%

1.9%

0.7%

0.2%

2.4%

3.3%

2.2%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

1.0%

1.3%

0.9%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%