EredivisiePartial

Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam

Sunday 8 November at 00:45 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Den Haag win	29.9%	40.0%	—
Draw	24.3%	25.4%	—
Sparta Rotterdam win	45.8%	34.6%	—
Den Haag or draw	54.2%	—	—
Den Haag or Sparta Rotterdam	75.7%	—	—
Draw or Sparta Rotterdam	70.1%	—	—
Over 1.5 goals	87.1%	—	—
Under 1.5 goals	12.9%	—	—
Over 2.5 goals	67.1%	60.0%	—
Under 2.5 goals	32.9%	40.1%	—
Over 3.5 goals	45.4%	—	—
Under 3.5 goals	54.6%	—	—
Both teams to score	68.1%	—	—
Not both teams to score	31.9%	—	—
Den Haag to score	78.5%	—	—
Sparta Rotterdam to score	85.4%	—	—

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.3%	4.9%	5.8%	3.7%	1.8%	0.7%
1	3.7%	10.4%	8.9%	5.7%	2.8%	1.1%
2	3.7%	7.1%	6.9%	4.4%	2.1%	0.8%
3	1.9%	3.7%	3.5%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.7%	1.4%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%
5	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1.1–110.4%
2.1–28.9%
3.2–17.1%
4.2–26.9%
5.0–25.8%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.92. Correlation -0.12.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

Den HaagLLWDDL

Scored 7 · Conceded 10

Sun 1 Novat Zwolle0–1xG 0.50–1.44
Sat 24 Octat SC Heerenveen2–3xG 2.82–2.43
Sat 17 Octat PSV Eindhoven2–1xG 1.39–1.05
Sun 11 Octat Telstar2–2xG 1.38–2.86
Sat 19 Septat SC Cambuur1–1xG 2.03–0.48
Sat 12 Septat FC Twente0–2xG 0.54–2.81

Sparta RotterdamWLWWDL

Scored 13 · Conceded 15

Sun 1 Novat FC Groningen3–2xG 1.01–2.28
Sun 25 Octat AFC Ajax1–2xG 1.13–1.51
Sun 18 Octat Willem II Tilburg3–2xG 3.38–1.17
Sat 17 Octat Willem II3–2xG 3.17–1.76
Sat 10 Octat Go Ahead Eagles3–3xG 2.20–1.45
Sat 19 Septat SC Heerenveen0–4xG 0.78–1.86

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Den Haag: −0.10 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 8.66 xG, conceded 10 on 11.07 xG against.

Sparta Rotterdam: −0.61 per game vs xG — Underperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 13 on 11.67 xG, conceded 15 on 10.02 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Den Haag win

29.9%

40.0%

—

Draw

24.3%

25.4%

—

Sparta Rotterdam win

45.8%

34.6%

—

Den Haag or draw

54.2%

—

Den Haag or Sparta Rotterdam

75.7%

—

Draw or Sparta Rotterdam

70.1%

—

Over 1.5 goals

87.1%

—

Under 1.5 goals

12.9%

—

Over 2.5 goals

67.1%

60.0%

—

Under 2.5 goals

32.9%

40.1%

—

Over 3.5 goals

45.4%

—

Under 3.5 goals

54.6%

—

Both teams to score

68.1%

—

Not both teams to score

31.9%

—

Den Haag to score

78.5%

—

Sparta Rotterdam to score

85.4%

—

4.3%

4.9%

5.8%

3.7%

1.8%

0.7%

3.7%

10.4%

8.9%

5.7%

2.8%

1.1%

3.7%

7.1%

6.9%

4.4%

2.1%

0.8%

1.9%

3.7%

3.5%

2.2%

1.1%

0.4%

0.7%

1.4%

1.3%

0.9%

0.4%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%