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Super LeagueCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 23:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Crete win | 39.1% | 45.4% | — |
| Draw | 27.4% | 27.3% | — |
| Atromitos win | 33.5% | 27.3% | — |
| OFI Crete or draw | 66.5% | — | — |
| OFI Crete or Atromitos | 72.6% | — | — |
| Draw or Atromitos | 60.9% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.6% | 48.0% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.4% | 52.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 39.9% | — | — |
| OFI Crete to score | 78.1% | — | — |
| Atromitos to score | 75.1% | — | — |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.39. Correlation -0.12.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 9 · Conceded 10
Scored 8 · Conceded 9
OFI Crete: −0.12 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 6 games: scored 9 on 8.14 xG, conceded 10 on 8.41 xG against.
Atromitos: −0.57 per game vs xG — Underperforming.
Across 6 games: scored 8 on 7.82 xG, conceded 9 on 5.40 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.