Super LeagueCalibrated

Iraklis vs Panathinaikos

Sunday 8 November at 22:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Iraklis win	14.5%	11.4%	—
Draw	26.9%	17.9%	—
Panathinaikos win	58.7%	70.7%	—
Iraklis or draw	41.3%	—	—
Iraklis or Panathinaikos	73.1%	—	—
Draw or Panathinaikos	85.5%	—	—
Over 1.5 goals	69.5%	—	—
Under 1.5 goals	30.5%	—	—
Over 2.5 goals	41.8%	56.3%	—
Under 2.5 goals	58.2%	43.7%	—
Over 3.5 goals	21.2%	—	—
Under 3.5 goals	78.8%	—	—
Both teams to score	42.3%	—	—
Not both teams to score	57.7%	—	—
Iraklis to score	50.7%	—	—
Panathinaikos to score	80.7%	—	—

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 3 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.8%	14.3%	12.9%	7.1%	2.9%	1.0%
1	5.4%	12.4%	9.1%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
2	2.4%	3.9%	3.2%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
3	0.6%	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1.0–114.3%
2.0–212.9%
3.1–112.4%
4.0–010.8%
5.1–29.1%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 0.71 – 1.65. Correlation -0.12.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

IraklisDLLWDD

Scored 7 · Conceded 7

Mon 2 Novat Kalamata1–1xG 0.97–2.41
Sat 24 Octat Kifisia2–3xG 0.68–1.78
Sun 18 Octat PAOK1–2xG 0.78–2.02
Sun 11 Octat Levadeiakos2–0xG 0.72–0.56
Sat 19 Septat Aris0–0xG 0.37–1.54
Sat 12 Septat Atromitos1–1xG 0.90–1.70

PanathinaikosWWWWWW

Scored 17 · Conceded 4

Thu 5 Novat CSKA Sofia2–1xG 2.36–1.05
Sun 1 Novat AEK Athens2–0xG 0.80–1.26
Sun 25 Octat Volos NFC1–0xG 1.52–0.24
Thu 22 Octat Kairat5–1xG 2.35–0.59
Sun 18 Octat Asteras Tripolis5–1xG 4.41–0.77
Thu 15 Octat Borac Banja Luka2–1xG 3.61–0.29

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Iraklis: +0.93 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 7 on 4.42 xG, conceded 7 on 10.01 xG against.

Panathinaikos: +0.36 per game vs xG — Overperforming.

Across 6 games: scored 17 on 15.05 xG, conceded 4 on 4.20 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Iraklis win

14.5%

11.4%

—

Draw

26.9%

17.9%

—

Panathinaikos win

58.7%

70.7%

—

Iraklis or draw

41.3%

—

Iraklis or Panathinaikos

73.1%

—

Draw or Panathinaikos

85.5%

—

Over 1.5 goals

69.5%

—

Under 1.5 goals

30.5%

—

Over 2.5 goals

41.8%

56.3%

—

Under 2.5 goals

58.2%

43.7%

—

Over 3.5 goals

21.2%

—

Under 3.5 goals

78.8%

—

Both teams to score

42.3%

—

Not both teams to score

57.7%

—

Iraklis to score

50.7%

—

Panathinaikos to score

80.7%

—

10.8%

14.3%

12.9%

7.1%

2.9%

1.0%

5.4%

12.4%

9.1%

5.0%

2.1%

0.7%

2.4%

3.9%

3.2%

1.8%

0.7%

0.2%

0.6%

0.9%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%