Loading match analysis…
Loading match analysis…
Super LeagueCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 22:00 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK win | 73.8% | 81.3% | — |
| Draw | 17.3% | 12.7% | — |
| Levadeiakos win | 8.9% | 6.0% | — |
| AEK or draw | 91.1% | — | — |
| AEK or Levadeiakos | 82.7% | — | — |
| Draw or Levadeiakos | 26.2% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.3% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.5% | 57.1% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.5% | 42.9% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.5% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57.5% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 51.7% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 48.3% | — | — |
| AEK to score | 91.9% | — | — |
| Levadeiakos to score | 55.2% | — | — |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 2.52 – 0.80. Correlation -0.12.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 3 · Conceded 3
AEK: not enough xG data yet.
Levadeiakos: −0.14 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 6 games: scored 3 on 5.31 xG, conceded 3 on 4.45 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.