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Super LeagueCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 00:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aris win | 66.0% | 70.2% | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 18.7% | — |
| Panetolikos win | 11.6% | 11.1% | — |
| Aris or draw | 88.4% | — | — |
| Aris or Panetolikos | 77.6% | — | — |
| Draw or Panetolikos | 34.0% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.2% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.9% | 54.6% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.1% | 45.4% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.7% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70.3% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 46.5% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 53.5% | — | — |
| Aris to score | 86.6% | — | — |
| Panetolikos to score | 52.3% | — | — |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 12.9% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 2.01 – 0.74. Correlation -0.12.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 8 · Conceded 10
Scored 1 · Conceded 16
Aris: −0.31 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 6 games: scored 8 on 7.63 xG, conceded 10 on 7.79 xG against.
Panetolikos: −0.59 per game vs xG — Underperforming.
Across 6 games: scored 1 on 3.13 xG, conceded 16 on 14.59 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.