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2. BundesligaCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 19:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 46.5% | 51.9% | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 23.3% | — |
| Karlsruhe win | 28.1% | 24.8% | — |
| Bochum or draw | 71.9% | — | — |
| Bochum or Karlsruhe | 74.7% | — | — |
| Draw or Karlsruhe | 53.5% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.7% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.1% | 61.1% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.9% | 38.9% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.1% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71.9% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 46.6% | — | — |
| Bochum to score | 78.5% | — | — |
| Karlsruhe to score | 68.0% | — | — |
Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.14. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 5 · Conceded 8
Bochum: −0.13 per game vs xG — In line.
Across 6 games: scored 5 on 7.15 xG, conceded 8 on 9.35 xG against.
Karlsruhe: not enough xG data yet.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.