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2. BundesligaCalibrated
Sunday 8 November at 19:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 31.9% | 40.0% | — |
| Draw | 24.8% | 25.4% | — |
| St Pauli win | 43.3% | 34.6% | — |
| Magdeburg or draw | 56.7% | — | — |
| Magdeburg or St Pauli | 75.2% | — | — |
| Draw or St Pauli | 68.1% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.8% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.3% | 57.1% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.7% | 42.9% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.0% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68.0% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 57.4% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 42.6% | — | — |
| Magdeburg to score | 72.7% | — | — |
| St Pauli to score | 78.8% | — | — |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.55. Correlation 0.00.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league passed calibration checks on held-out matches.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 11 · Conceded 12
Magdeburg: +0.43 per game vs xG — Overperforming.
Across 6 games: scored 11 on 7.72 xG, conceded 12 on 11.28 xG against.
St Pauli: not enough xG data yet.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.