BundesligaPartial

Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04

Monday 9 November at 01:30 WIB

Three sources

Pick	Model	Market	Sportmonks
Hoffenheim win	61.3%	60.6%	—
Draw	23.6%	20.7%	—
Schalke 04 win	15.1%	18.7%	—
Hoffenheim or draw	84.9%	—	—
Hoffenheim or Schalke 04	76.4%	—	—
Draw or Schalke 04	38.7%	—	—
Over 1.5 goals	72.6%	—	—
Under 1.5 goals	27.4%	—	—
Over 2.5 goals	46.7%	63.7%	—
Under 2.5 goals	53.3%	36.3%	—
Over 3.5 goals	25.2%	—	—
Under 3.5 goals	74.8%	—	—
Both teams to score	44.8%	—	—
Not both teams to score	55.2%	—	—
Hoffenheim to score	83.2%	—	—
Schalke 04 to score	53.3%	—	—

Sources disagree by more than 10 points on 2 picks.

Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.

Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.

Likely scores

Home goals down, away goals across.

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.3%	5.6%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	13.6%	11.1%	4.1%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
2	12.5%	9.5%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
3	7.4%	5.6%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
4	3.3%	2.5%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
5	1.2%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1.1–013.6%
2.2–012.5%
3.1–111.1%
4.2–19.5%
5.0–08.3%

Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.

About these numbers

Expected goals 1.78 – 0.76. Correlation -0.04.

Ratings from primary_league.

This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.

This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.

Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.

Last six

HoffenheimDLWWWW

Scored 11 · Conceded 5

Thu 5 Novat Crystal Palace1–1xG 1.38–1.12
Sat 31 Octat SV Werder Bremen0–2xG 1.44–1.66
Sun 25 Octat Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–0xG 3.29–0.70
Thu 22 Octat Olympique Lyonnais3–0xG 1.91–0.66
Sun 18 Octat Borussia M'gladbach2–1xG 1.84–0.86
Sun 18 Octat Borussia Monchengladbach2–1xG 1.80–0.47

Schalke 04LLDLLL

Scored 1 · Conceded 8

Sat 31 Octat RB Leipzig0–2xG 0.34–3.05
Wed 28 Octat Dynamo Dresden0–2xG 0.92–1.14
Sat 24 Octat 1. FC Koln0–0xG 0.73–1.00
Sat 17 Octat 1. FSV Mainz 050–1xG 0.29–1.51
Sat 17 Octat FSV Mainz 050–1xG 0.44–1.11
Sun 11 Octat SC Freiburg1–2xG 0.47–1.26

Goals vs expected goals (xG)

Hoffenheim: −0.03 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 11 on 11.67 xG, conceded 5 on 5.49 xG against.

Schalke 04: −0.19 per game vs xG — In line.

Across 6 games: scored 1 on 3.19 xG, conceded 8 on 9.08 xG against.

Picks from this package

0 on record

No picks recorded for this package

This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.

Loading match analysis…

Pick

Model

Market

Sportmonks

Hoffenheim win

61.3%

60.6%

—

Draw

23.6%

20.7%

—

Schalke 04 win

15.1%

18.7%

—

Hoffenheim or draw

84.9%

—

Hoffenheim or Schalke 04

76.4%

—

Draw or Schalke 04

38.7%

—

Over 1.5 goals

72.6%

—

Under 1.5 goals

27.4%

—

Over 2.5 goals

46.7%

63.7%

—

Under 2.5 goals

53.3%

36.3%

—

Over 3.5 goals

25.2%

—

Under 3.5 goals

74.8%

—

Both teams to score

44.8%

—

Not both teams to score

55.2%

—

Hoffenheim to score

83.2%

—

Schalke 04 to score

53.3%

—

8.3%

5.6%

2.3%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

13.6%

11.1%

4.1%

1.0%

0.2%

0.0%

12.5%

9.5%

3.6%

0.9%

0.2%

0.0%

7.4%

5.6%

2.2%

0.5%

0.1%

0.0%

3.3%

2.5%

1.0%

0.2%

0.0%

1.2%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%