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BundesligaPartial
Sunday 8 November at 21:30 WIB
| Pick | Model | Market | Sportmonks |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Koln win | 27.1% | 23.8% | — |
| Draw | 21.4% | 23.8% | — |
| Leverkusen win | 51.5% | 52.4% | — |
| FC Koln or draw | 48.5% | — | — |
| FC Koln or Leverkusen | 78.6% | — | — |
| Draw or Leverkusen | 72.9% | — | — |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11.4% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.2% | 68.2% | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28.8% | 31.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49.7% | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 69.6% | — | — |
| Not both teams to score | 30.4% | — | — |
| FC Koln to score | 78.4% | — | — |
| Leverkusen to score | 88.4% | — | — |
Market odds captured Saturday 7 November at 16:21 WIB · Pinnacle, Bet365.
Sportmonks panel Thursday 1 January at 07:00 WIB.
Home goals down, away goals across.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Shown 0–5 goals per side, from the full 11×11 matrix.
Expected goals 1.53 – 2.15. Correlation -0.04.
Ratings from primary_league.
This league is partly calibrated — treat its numbers with care.
This fixture is served by the legacy divisional fit for its league.
Calculated Saturday 7 November at 21:33 WIB.
Scored 11 · Conceded 11
FC Koln: not enough xG data yet.
Leverkusen: −0.55 per game vs xG — Underperforming.
Across 6 games: scored 11 on 12.29 xG, conceded 11 on 9.02 xG against.
No picks recorded for this package
This package was calculated before the pick engine wrote to the ledger, or no pick cleared the grade threshold.